Analysis and Reading of "SadaNews": Is Iran or Lebanon Closer to an Israeli Attack?!

Exclusive to "SadaNews" - The world's attention is focused on what Israel publishes through its media leaks, whether through its own outlets or international ones that it often uses to disseminate the same leaks primarily aimed at establishing media facts before any military confrontation with Iran, which is the same approach it adopts on other fronts.

While Israel speaks about Iran's rebuilding of its missile capabilities, both ballistic and otherwise, social media has recently been buzzing with news about conducting large-scale missile tests in various provinces of the country, a claim later confirmed by Iranian Revolutionary Guard-affiliated media. However, state television refuted any missile drills, stating that the images circulated on social media were incorrect and that the white line visible in the sky was a result of a high-flying aircraft over several provinces.

The contrasting discussions about the drills followed hours after some Western media reported extensive movements of the Revolutionary Guard, including the mobilization of missiles and drones across the country in preparation for the exercises, as "SadaNews" followed up.

Those sources from Western media claim that Israel conveyed a warning to the U.S. administration that the drill may not be a normal training exercise but a cover for a potential attack against it.

Some Israeli media have recently been agitated by the news that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will discuss with U.S. President Donald Trump at the end of the month a plan to strike Iran. However, Netanyahu himself stated this evening, as translated by "SadaNews", that any attack from Iran would be met with a very severe response, claiming that his government seeks stability in the region.

This may primarily aim to exert real political pressure on Tehran instead of being a genuine military option, according to some interpretations provided by the political correspondent for Channel 12 Hebrew, or to entangle the United States in a new attack that it currently does not desire at least.

What can be confirmed, and what previous experiences have proved, is that Israel may indeed be planning a new attack against Iran, but can its capabilities allow it to do so without greater American support than it had during the 12-day war that took place during the Gaza conflict?

Despite all this media noise, it seems that Israel is preparing a surprise to direct attention to one front while preparing strikes on other fronts. So how is this being done?!

Israeli aerial sorties in recent days indicate extensive movements across different areas from north to south of occupied Palestine, especially at night, an observation that Israelis have noted significantly, and they expected covert security events to be occurring before the Israeli army had to deny that.

Some facts suggest that these sorties were primarily aimed at preparing a plan to launch simultaneous and large strikes in Lebanon against Hezbollah and possibly even against other targets that may include armed Palestinian factions in Lebanon and other Lebanese parties close to Hezbollah, alongside potential targets in the heart of Beirut and even other areas, and even possibly bombing targets affiliated with the Lebanese government, which fears such a scenario, thus pushing to ensure the success of the ceasefire agreement by all means, positioning it in a public media confrontation with Hezbollah.

Israel had given Lebanon, through U.S. mediation, until the end of this month to disarm Hezbollah, while the latter refuses and is trying to reach an agreement with the Lebanese army on how to confine arms without entirely infringing upon its arsenal.

Recent developments indicate that the Lebanese state requested, through U.S. mediation, for the deadline to be extended until the fifth or tenth of next month, which Israel might accept as it hopes to succeed in some negotiations that have begun in Naqoura with the Lebanese government, which has begun taking a more confrontational stance against the party and its policies, particularly regarding its weapons. As "SadaNews" reported.

Thus, projections indicate that a strike will primarily be directed at Lebanon, and then if there is no response from the party or at least Iranian intervention, Israel may exploit the situation to launch a strike on Tehran as it did during the war, and this may occur simultaneously. U.S. President Donald Trump may succeed in restraining Netanyahu and preventing him from taking any step that could jeopardize the U.S. president's plans aimed at stability in the Middle East, primarily serving his economic interests and relationships with Saudi Arabia and some countries that, in turn, do not oppose targeted strikes against Hezbollah and Hamas, but would prefer not to do so against Iran for fear of harming their own interests, especially after the recent improvement in Gulf-Iranian relations.