Israel Prepares for the Scenario of a Failed Agreement with Iran

SadaNews - New Israeli estimates reveal a decline in the chances of reaching a final agreement between the United States and Iran, as Tel Aviv raises its level of military preparedness in anticipation of the possibility of a regional confrontation escalating or being subjected to a direct attack from Tehran, while continuing security and military coordination with Washington.

Israeli media reported from officials that the prevailing estimates within the security establishment indicate that the likelihood of success in the negotiation track between Washington and Tehran has become "almost non-existent," amid recent military escalation and reciprocal strikes between the two sides.

The officials added that the Israeli army is continuing to prepare operational plans and updating the target bank inside Iran, anticipating any political decision to carry out military action, or if the current confrontation extends to include Israel directly.

The sources confirmed that any Iranian attack on Israel would be met with a "broad-scale response," carried out in full coordination with the United States.

These statements come one day after a report published by the Israeli newspaper "Maariv," which stated that the army has completed preparations for a wide-scale attack on Iranian infrastructure, should hostilities resume or Israel be attacked by Iran.

According to the newspaper, the military establishment has prepared a list of targets that were not targeted during previous confrontations, including vital facilities in the oil, gas, and energy sectors, in addition to electricity stations, industrial infrastructure, and transportation networks.

The newspaper quoted a security source stating that the army has "completed the necessary preparations," and it would be capable of executing broader and more impactful operations if a decision comes from the political leadership.

He added that some targets that were postponed during past rounds remained outside the scope of strikes due to U.S.-Israeli understandings, yet they are still included in the military target bank.

According to Israeli officials, any extensive military action will not be separate from coordination with the United States, especially given the large U.S. military presence in the region and ongoing U.S. operations against Iranian targets following attacks that targeted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

The U.S. Central Command announced carrying out three rounds of strikes during this week, confirming hitting over 300 military sites inside Iran, in response to Iranian attacks on commercial ships.

Israeli officials believe that this continued coordination enhances both sides' ability to deal with any new escalation, whether inside Iran or in other theaters in the region.

These estimates come as the diplomatic path between Washington and Tehran faces increasing challenges, after U.S. President Donald Trump announced the end of the memorandum of understanding that had been signed last June, following a mutual exchange of accusations over violating its terms.

Despite Trump's announcement of his willingness to resume negotiations, recent military escalation, reciprocal attacks, and intermittent closures of the Strait of Hormuz have all increased doubts about the possibility of a quick return to the negotiating table.

On the other hand, Tehran insists that it will not back down under military pressure, while Iranian officials stressed that the response to any aggression will continue as long as American and Israeli attacks persist.

Israel fears that the collapse of the negotiation path could lead to a shift from limited strikes to a broader regional war, especially if Iran decides to broaden its response to include Israeli territory directly.

For this reason, the Israeli military establishment continues to raise its readiness, update its operational plans, and enhance cooperation with the United States, amid security assessments indicating that the coming weeks will be decisive in determining whether the crisis will return to the political track or move towards a more extensive military confrontation.